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Aug 14, 2014
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and iran. the two countries have been sworn enemies for the last 35 years but as many people have pointed out they are also two countries that have much in common, tremendous influence, and parallel interest despite their profound differences. the current round of talks between the if they don't meet the july date. the there are still significant outstanding disagreements are the details of an accord there has been under interrupted progress in achieving confidence-building measures cents. and there is intense interest on both sides in trying to make the date. now, of great significance is that the presidents of both countries, both want this deal. and they both know that there are powerful opponents to the agreement in each of their country's who will take advantage of any delay to ratchet up their opposition to it. now, it is not the objective of and a clear talks to settle a very real differences between the u.s. and iran. the purpose at the moment is to quarantine the talks around the sole
and iran. the two countries have been sworn enemies for the last 35 years but as many people have pointed out they are also two countries that have much in common, tremendous influence, and parallel interest despite their profound differences. the current round of talks between the if they don't meet the july date. the there are still significant outstanding disagreements are the details of an accord there has been under interrupted progress in achieving confidence-building measures cents. and...
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Aug 14, 2014
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iran. the u.s. president, john kerry, that 2-state solution they oppose the u.s. president. but this point about this fact, i know about the u.s. commitment to security of israel, i have no doubt, but the issue is whether israel is making rate policies or they are isolating themselves some and blaming the lsc. this is whether we would have a republican president or not, we may have. him this is, to my understanding -- many am wrong. i really -- for me it is difficult to imagine a republican president i think america has a good lesson in >> and then the final question. a former colleague from the new york times. >> thank you. wonderful presentation. >> my name is adam beckham of former times person and independent. much of the discussion has been framed in geopolitical terms, but the question that occurred to me is, the school of thought in part by people war in one of very well which sees the instability in the region, especially originated in syria, the failure of political systems to resp
iran. the u.s. president, john kerry, that 2-state solution they oppose the u.s. president. but this point about this fact, i know about the u.s. commitment to security of israel, i have no doubt, but the issue is whether israel is making rate policies or they are isolating themselves some and blaming the lsc. this is whether we would have a republican president or not, we may have. him this is, to my understanding -- many am wrong. i really -- for me it is difficult to imagine a republican...
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Aug 14, 2014
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and iran. the purpose at the moment is to quarantine the talks around the sole issue of the nuclear program and achieve agreement there. now, if that should happen, one can imagine a situation where the u.s. and iran cease being impeccable enemies and instead become rivals, intense rivals, who may be able to cooperate on issues where competing national interests converge. the common analogy is being invoked from the u.s. and china, and the u.s. and russia. that's why i use the word tantalizing at the outset. this relationship has been marked by deep and recuring distrust on both sides and the ates. building trust is elusive particular if one side doesn't understand what the other side thinks and why it does. that is the value of this book. and i can think of no better person to explain the iranian viewpoint to a western audience than seyed hossein mousavian who was at many events who did his und undergraduate here and has been research and teaching at teach princeton and two-track i ca diplomac
and iran. the purpose at the moment is to quarantine the talks around the sole issue of the nuclear program and achieve agreement there. now, if that should happen, one can imagine a situation where the u.s. and iran cease being impeccable enemies and instead become rivals, intense rivals, who may be able to cooperate on issues where competing national interests converge. the common analogy is being invoked from the u.s. and china, and the u.s. and russia. that's why i use the word tantalizing...
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Aug 14, 2014
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-iran relations. first, we have united states: an insider's view on the failed past and the road to peace". now the former iranian national security administrator talks about iran and the united states relationship in insider's view on the failed past and the road to peace". this is 90 minutes. >> we have a prized seat in the front row if i can induce someone to come on up. good evening, and welcome. i am hoge warren and i am happy to happy to welcome you to this event. we are insider's view on the failed past and the road to peace" and. sain sain he is here to talk about iran's program and the conflicted relationship with the united states and his own close personal association over the years with the two principles on the iranian side in the current nuclear negotiations. this makes him a perfect quest for ipi tonight because this is a -- guest -- because this is a tantling time for the united states and iran. the two countries have been sworn enemies for the last 35 years but as many people have poi
-iran relations. first, we have united states: an insider's view on the failed past and the road to peace". now the former iranian national security administrator talks about iran and the united states relationship in insider's view on the failed past and the road to peace". this is 90 minutes. >> we have a prized seat in the front row if i can induce someone to come on up. good evening, and welcome. i am hoge warren and i am happy to happy to welcome you to this event. we are...
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Aug 14, 2014
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iran. you know better than me how much the u.s. president john kerry invested in a two-state solution and who declined and who oppose the u.s. president and it was netanyahu. despite all of these facts i know the u.s. commitment to the security of israel, they have no doubt that the issue is whether israelis are making right policies with the current policies they have in the region or they are isolating themselves and blaming others. this is my issue. whether we would have a republican president or not, we may have. this is to my understanding and maybe i'm wrong, for me it's difficult to imagine a republican president who would repeat the mistake in iraq and afghanistan. i think they have learned a good lesson. >> the final question is from adam a former colleague with a near times. >> my name is adam stolt meant a former times person and independent. much of the discussion has been framed in geopolitical terms but the question that occurred to me is there's a school of thought espoused i
iran. you know better than me how much the u.s. president john kerry invested in a two-state solution and who declined and who oppose the u.s. president and it was netanyahu. despite all of these facts i know the u.s. commitment to the security of israel, they have no doubt that the issue is whether israelis are making right policies with the current policies they have in the region or they are isolating themselves and blaming others. this is my issue. whether we would have a republican...
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Aug 14, 2014
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and iran both. i am not going to take too much of your time to explain every detail of the book but i believe there is a chance. there is a serious chance, i believe. when i am looking to the current situation of the middle east i see iraq and syria on the brink. taliban is coming back in afghanistan. pakistani crisis seems to be going and the scholars are worried about the future of pakistan. whether we like it or not and whether the u.s. likes it or not iran is one of the most stable countries in the region. despite 30 years of the war and everything iran is one of the most stable countries. i look at the area and say iran and turkey are the most stable countries. others have instability like iraq or afghanistan or they are vulnerable to the crisis. this is additional responsibility for tehran and washington to cooperate. i don't believe the crisis in the region will only be resolved by cooperation by iran and the united states. we need to engage other powers like saudi arabia and turkey. we need
and iran both. i am not going to take too much of your time to explain every detail of the book but i believe there is a chance. there is a serious chance, i believe. when i am looking to the current situation of the middle east i see iraq and syria on the brink. taliban is coming back in afghanistan. pakistani crisis seems to be going and the scholars are worried about the future of pakistan. whether we like it or not and whether the u.s. likes it or not iran is one of the most stable...
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Aug 14, 2014
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iran. what i shown the book is these mysterious activities and accidents have been happening to iran's nuclear program for years but every three months if you look at the iea reports every three months iran's capabilities continue to increase. despite all the stuff that has been thrown out there their program advances. i think it's possible it would advance more precipitously that it shows on its own covert action will not -- second some people argue maybe we can have a japan model as an option. the japan model option is that like japan may be iran could have been advanced nuclear capability essentially have everything that needs to build nuclear weapons at that wanted to to become a screwdrivers turn or two away but iran won't do it and iran won't turn the final two screws and we would just live with it. i argue that's not a serious option because there's really no reason to believe iran would stop short. once iran puts a screwdriver to away want to set the point where the west can no long
iran. what i shown the book is these mysterious activities and accidents have been happening to iran's nuclear program for years but every three months if you look at the iea reports every three months iran's capabilities continue to increase. despite all the stuff that has been thrown out there their program advances. i think it's possible it would advance more precipitously that it shows on its own covert action will not -- second some people argue maybe we can have a japan model as an...
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Aug 14, 2014
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and iran both. i am not going to take too much of your time to explain every detail of the book but i believe there is a chance. there is a serious chance, i believe. when i am looking to the current situation of the middle east i see iraq and syria on the brink. taliban is coming back in afghanistan. pakistani crisis seems to be going and the scholars are worried about the future of pakistan. whether we like it or not and whether the u.s. likes it or not iran is one of the most stable countries in the region. despite 30 years of the war and everything iran is one of the most stable countries. i look at the area and say iran and turkey are the most stable countries. others have instability like iraq or afghanistan or they are vulnerable to the crisis. this is additional responsibility for tehran and washington to cooperate. i don't believe the crisis in the region will only be resolved by cooperation by iran and the united states. we need to engage other powers like saudi arabia and turkey. we need
and iran both. i am not going to take too much of your time to explain every detail of the book but i believe there is a chance. there is a serious chance, i believe. when i am looking to the current situation of the middle east i see iraq and syria on the brink. taliban is coming back in afghanistan. pakistani crisis seems to be going and the scholars are worried about the future of pakistan. whether we like it or not and whether the u.s. likes it or not iran is one of the most stable...
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Aug 14, 2014
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one that iran wants nuclear energy. two, that iran wants nuclear power. let's look at the evidence and see what the evidence supports, which hypothesis is most consistent with the evidence. so i go through and look at the evidence and what i show is there are about 14 reasons, 14 things that iran is doing that makes absolutely no sense for an energy program. and really only makes sense to build nuclear weapons. and this makes sense given iran's strategic goals. iran explicitly says its goals are to first continue to -- for this regime to continue to exist. to protect this theocratic regime. that it wants to deter foreign attack, deter an attack from israel or from the united states. n third, iran's leaders say that they want iran to be the most dominant state in the middle east. so if those are your goals, acquiring nuclear weapons makes a lot of sense. acquiring nuclear weapons allows you to deter foreign attack because you can threaten to ee retaliate. having a nuclear energy program, having a few nuclear facilities, don't help you to do those things. s
one that iran wants nuclear energy. two, that iran wants nuclear power. let's look at the evidence and see what the evidence supports, which hypothesis is most consistent with the evidence. so i go through and look at the evidence and what i show is there are about 14 reasons, 14 things that iran is doing that makes absolutely no sense for an energy program. and really only makes sense to build nuclear weapons. and this makes sense given iran's strategic goals. iran explicitly says its goals...
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Aug 3, 2014
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. -- non-nuclear weapons in iran. we have to use every tool that we can to deter them and to put a spotlight on the things that they are doing. you then said you will not be silent. i assume silence means more than just words. that we will take actions in other areas. and that nothing we are doing in these negotiations would compromise our ability to speak out about these other issues that are critically important to the united states. ask >> they will continue in place. we're have been quite clear with iran that if we get to encumbrance of agreement there might be suspension and then after a. of time and after verification by the benchmarks perhaps lifting. where it comes to our sanctions they will stay in place. it is quite concerning, the that iran takes in the arenas you just mentioned. who can imagine the detaining an american journalist helps these negotiations? in the past i know it has been in the news. hamas creates many of its own rockets these days a lot of the original supply came from iran. the security o
. -- non-nuclear weapons in iran. we have to use every tool that we can to deter them and to put a spotlight on the things that they are doing. you then said you will not be silent. i assume silence means more than just words. that we will take actions in other areas. and that nothing we are doing in these negotiations would compromise our ability to speak out about these other issues that are critically important to the united states. ask >> they will continue in place. we're have been...
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Aug 24, 2014
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-iran elations and the u.s. approaches to iran. i was sent a list of books by my publisher with sexy titles such as "countdown to "countdown to crisis." nd some of the covers were striking. congressman by a gentleman called kurt weldon. you can't get them sent -- think u.y ban them in the can. they ban them in the u.k. but you get them sent over. it for me, this congressman, as far as i'm aware armed uty chair of the services committee, someone in the u.k. did something like this -- i don't know if they in their h too long official position, but that he ss, he decided had found a source by the name of ali who lived in paris, an iranian exile evidence that iran was about to place a dirty nuclear in boston. he approached the cia, the cia was a lunatic. they interrogated him and he was a complete joke. cia was the people at fault. he's going to write this book. out with the sentence "this book is an act of desperation." line i've seen in a book. and he goes into the transcripts this gentlemen. ali -- no one knows who he is. me, i supp
-iran elations and the u.s. approaches to iran. i was sent a list of books by my publisher with sexy titles such as "countdown to "countdown to crisis." nd some of the covers were striking. congressman by a gentleman called kurt weldon. you can't get them sent -- think u.y ban them in the can. they ban them in the u.k. but you get them sent over. it for me, this congressman, as far as i'm aware armed uty chair of the services committee, someone in the u.k. did something like this...
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Aug 14, 2014
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iran. i think if the containment strategy we could deter iran from starting a nuclear war. i think we could deter them from purposely transferring to terrorist groups but i think many of the threats we couldn't deal with. i think it's likely iran would transfer sensitive technology and would we be willing to fight a nuclear war with iran because enrichment technology. iran's leaders don't understand that. we couldn't deter iran from being emboldened. and by definition we can't deter inadvertent nuclear war and the high-stakes crisis. president bush and president obama didn't agree on a lot in foreign policy but they both agreed a nuclear-armed iran is unacceptable. if that's the case for nuclear-armed iran is unacceptable and diplomacy fails that leaves us with one option the military option. in the book i talk about the military option in the military option isn't a good option either. there are many risks to the military option. the question is it worse or better than deterrence and conta
iran. i think if the containment strategy we could deter iran from starting a nuclear war. i think we could deter them from purposely transferring to terrorist groups but i think many of the threats we couldn't deal with. i think it's likely iran would transfer sensitive technology and would we be willing to fight a nuclear war with iran because enrichment technology. iran's leaders don't understand that. we couldn't deter iran from being emboldened. and by definition we can't deter inadvertent...
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Aug 31, 2014
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iran is a country where the censorship is at play with the press. however, if you are an iranian specialist, you have the opportunity to get information through different media in spite of the fact that all the media is censored by the government. particularly if we look at the smaller circulation magazines and journals and a special economic newspapers, iran is just like america in that sense. most people do not read economic newspapers. what do you do? as an iran expert, the first thing is to read economic newspapers in order to get the information. what you also should do -- this is something we do every day -- take a look at specialist journals and magazines particularly those of the revolutionary guards. there is one weekly publication which expresses the political line of the leadership of the revolutionary guard and on the other hand, you have the newspaper daily which expresses the views of mr. rohani and the other newspapers in the middle. there are different sources of information we can consult. it does not reflect the opinion of the broa
iran is a country where the censorship is at play with the press. however, if you are an iranian specialist, you have the opportunity to get information through different media in spite of the fact that all the media is censored by the government. particularly if we look at the smaller circulation magazines and journals and a special economic newspapers, iran is just like america in that sense. most people do not read economic newspapers. what do you do? as an iran expert, the first thing is to...
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Aug 16, 2014
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i have been looking at iran and european/iran relations but also iran for then years.part of 10 it was on myth even a what i've takenn the book is i've the ideas i've developed looking iran politics and tried to apply them. is my third book. i was reluctant, i have to say, to write it. the temptations were enough, ultimately. i was so worried about what was u.s./iranten about relations and u.s. approaches to iran. of books by myst publisher, countdown to terror, iran, and some of the covers were striking. there was one by a congressman called kurtan weldon. you can't buy these in the u.k. think they ban them in the u.k. in this book, what was striking me and this turned it for me, this congressman, who the deputy'm aware chair of the armed service committee. u.k.nk if someone in the did this -- i don't know if they long in their position. he decided he found a source, a by the interesting name ali who had evidence that dirtyas going to place a nuclear bomb in boston. he approached the c.i.a. but the c.i.a. thought he was a lunatic. thatcongressman decided the c.i.a. was the people at f
i have been looking at iran and european/iran relations but also iran for then years.part of 10 it was on myth even a what i've takenn the book is i've the ideas i've developed looking iran politics and tried to apply them. is my third book. i was reluctant, i have to say, to write it. the temptations were enough, ultimately. i was so worried about what was u.s./iranten about relations and u.s. approaches to iran. of books by myst publisher, countdown to terror, iran, and some of the covers...
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Aug 23, 2014
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technology, not that iran doesn't do that but iran takes other measures as well. they are often seeking physical components to supply their maintenance people, their specific problem with aircraft is the united states supplied aircraft to iran in the 70s, f 5s, at 14s and of course after the revolution we stopped maintaining them and stop supplying them with spare parts so they had to do that themselves. and so they had the same problem and navy squadron has when it is deployed far from home, they start running out of things so they have acquisition agents who are in the business of trying to acquire those things so they use those shipment points and front companies and shipment points like dubai in order to get u.s. companies to send them, supply them with components. >> the target in operation shakespeare, the iranian would do something similar. he would get -- he would get marching orders from the iranian government, send it by fax instead of e-mail because if they send it by e-mail they are worried that he might just forward it on and have the fingerprints so
technology, not that iran doesn't do that but iran takes other measures as well. they are often seeking physical components to supply their maintenance people, their specific problem with aircraft is the united states supplied aircraft to iran in the 70s, f 5s, at 14s and of course after the revolution we stopped maintaining them and stop supplying them with spare parts so they had to do that themselves. and so they had the same problem and navy squadron has when it is deployed far from home,...
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Aug 1, 2014
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we will tie our sanctions relief to iran's performance, only providing relief to iran after it has taken verifiable steps as part of a comprehensive agreement and maintain the capacity to tighten the pressure if iran fails to comply. i cannot tell you today that our diplomacy will succeed because i am not sure that it will. i can tell you that in the past six months, we have made significant and steady progress. we have exchanged ideas, narrowed gaps on key issues, and identified areas where more hard work is required. for instance, we have had productive discussions about how to reduce the dangers posed by the facility at iraq and fordo. about the protocols necessary for transparency. about the disposition of iran's stockpiles of enriched uranium. no issues have been neglected, none have been finally decided, because nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. and on sum we still have substantial differences including the question of enrichment capacity. as you know, mr. chairman, there is a limit to how dayed i can be in this open session and still preserve the leverage we need in su
we will tie our sanctions relief to iran's performance, only providing relief to iran after it has taken verifiable steps as part of a comprehensive agreement and maintain the capacity to tighten the pressure if iran fails to comply. i cannot tell you today that our diplomacy will succeed because i am not sure that it will. i can tell you that in the past six months, we have made significant and steady progress. we have exchanged ideas, narrowed gaps on key issues, and identified areas where...
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Aug 31, 2014
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but make iran a democracy. pressure from within, where domestic opposition and opposition abroad says justice is more important than revenge and we care more about the future, a brighter future, then about correcting the injustices of the past. those negotiating with the regime in tehran also pay attention to the plight of the iranian public, that would be a combination. and we certainly do need to learn from your experiences, mr. ambassador. >> i want to follow up on that. the agreement on this panel in regards to human rights is probably not widely shared nowadays. i think the obama administration has not made human rights a priority, rand paul does not think human rights internationally should be a priority. the un's human rights council has become a forum for human rights violators. even major organizations are selective about human rights, that is why your organization came into being. this is a challenging time to make the case. the arab spring has not -- we have not seen human rights flowering from the s
but make iran a democracy. pressure from within, where domestic opposition and opposition abroad says justice is more important than revenge and we care more about the future, a brighter future, then about correcting the injustices of the past. those negotiating with the regime in tehran also pay attention to the plight of the iranian public, that would be a combination. and we certainly do need to learn from your experiences, mr. ambassador. >> i want to follow up on that. the agreement...
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Aug 27, 2014
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government bans it in iran. to which he replays hah hah that's life. that's word for word what he said. and then i said, when will one of iran's most famous political prisoners be free in and he says, i don't know who that is. so i published this in the daily beast that the foreign minister doesn't know one of iran's most famous political prisoners. and it got picked up from there. thousands wrote him on facebook a lot of pressure they released him on furlough for about a week. and then when the media pressure died down he was put right back into prison. 15, k interesting was my 20 minute debate/confrontation with the u.n. ambassador at the time when i approached him about the same issues, i said why is it that the foreign minister gets to post on facebook when it's banned in iran and he said, word for word, are the facebook and twitter band in iran? i assured him that they were. and i list add whole bunch of political prisoners. and i said when will they be free? and he says i don't know who that is. then i sad
government bans it in iran. to which he replays hah hah that's life. that's word for word what he said. and then i said, when will one of iran's most famous political prisoners be free in and he says, i don't know who that is. so i published this in the daily beast that the foreign minister doesn't know one of iran's most famous political prisoners. and it got picked up from there. thousands wrote him on facebook a lot of pressure they released him on furlough for about a week. and then when...
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Aug 17, 2014
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and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the prime minister was welcomed by the united states and by iran. the supporters of the administration will say well it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interest and are walking in parallel like this. i personally don't believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious effort to accommodate iran to arrive at a mod does and the primary reason for that is the notion that isis is the threat. we have this problem of jihaddist from bag dan to damascus and the administration's attitude i think is much the same. it's attitude in sprivet much the same as what we've seen from ambassador pickering and lures and crocker who wrote in the "washington post" which said we have to ban together with all of the like minded states in the renalen that are hostile to isis iran being first and foremost among them so we should come to accommodation with them. we heard in the huffing on the post recently expressing what is a very prevalent view
and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the prime minister was welcomed by the united states and by iran. the supporters of the administration will say well it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interest and are walking in parallel like this. i personally don't believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious effort to accommodate iran to arrive at a mod does and the primary reason for that is the notion that isis is the threat. we have...
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too late for iran. it's too late for korea and we can do something about iran. in terms of the cost there are a lot of costs and we only have 30 minutes here and i go into that their costs in the book so i would encourage you to look at that. he said if there's any doubt iran would build nuclear weapons presently a strike would convince him to go all the way. many people make that argument. what i argue in the book is iran has made the decision. there's no way to explain their behavior over the past two years except if they decide to build a nuclear weapon. the supreme leader has been building up its program for decades. it's naÏve for us to assume he hasn't thought long and hard about what he is doing and what he intends to do. the second thing i point out in the book is if that's a concern that can be mitigated completely by a timely strike so if we strike tomorrow night and there's a danger that if they are somewhat on the fence that would change their mind. what argument book as we said -- the time
too late for iran. it's too late for korea and we can do something about iran. in terms of the cost there are a lot of costs and we only have 30 minutes here and i go into that their costs in the book so i would encourage you to look at that. he said if there's any doubt iran would build nuclear weapons presently a strike would convince him to go all the way. many people make that argument. what i argue in the book is iran has made the decision. there's no way to explain their behavior over the...
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Aug 14, 2014
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and iran. it wasn't happening in our case but it did happen around the nuclear issue in the month preceding the more formal nuclear talks. >> what kinds of questions were you asked during the interrogations and to what extent do you feel the need to be less than honest? >> a good question. >> shane gave a couple of examples and i will get a couple more. click favorite question that was asked every interrogation session was please write your full biography. then their second favorite question that they asked every time was what were you doing and why did you cross into iran was how they phrased it. and those i actually felt pretty honest about the big thing that i felt nervous about was saying that i was jewish and my dad is israeli and born in iraq. he was putting those pieces together as i could see them leaving a story that i did not want them to leave and i have been to israel to see my family several times in the past 10 years. again i first told them i was christian and that lasted 10 days
and iran. it wasn't happening in our case but it did happen around the nuclear issue in the month preceding the more formal nuclear talks. >> what kinds of questions were you asked during the interrogations and to what extent do you feel the need to be less than honest? >> a good question. >> shane gave a couple of examples and i will get a couple more. click favorite question that was asked every interrogation session was please write your full biography. then their second...
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Aug 27, 2014
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but make iran a democracy. pressure from within, where domestic opposition and opposition abroad says justice is more important than revenge and we care more about the future, a brighter future, then an about correcting the injustices of the past. those negotiating with the regime in tehran also pay attention to the plight of the iranian public, that would be a combination. and we certainly do need to learn from your experiences, mr. ambassador. >> i want to follow up on that. the agreement on this panel in regards to human rights is probably not widely shared nowadays. i think the obama administration has not made human rights a priority, rand paul does not think human rights internationally should be a priority. the un's human rights council has become a forum for human rights violators. and that is accepted by most of the world. even major organizations are selective about human rights, that is why your organization came into being. this is a challenging time to make the case. and by the way the arab spring
but make iran a democracy. pressure from within, where domestic opposition and opposition abroad says justice is more important than revenge and we care more about the future, a brighter future, then an about correcting the injustices of the past. those negotiating with the regime in tehran also pay attention to the plight of the iranian public, that would be a combination. and we certainly do need to learn from your experiences, mr. ambassador. >> i want to follow up on that. the...
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Aug 14, 2014
08/14
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including on iran. so again, the president has said he's willing to use force.ein andg i've talked to some of his closest advisers and they swear he says the same thing in the t oval office he says in public. that he really wants to solve this diplomatically. that he doesn't want to have tor use force. but that he's not going to allow a nuclear arms race in the middle east unless he has to. the problem is, nobody believes that. the president does -- a couple close advisers, i do, having m n talked to obhim. but my sense is the american public doesn't believe obama th would use force on iran. co my sense is the iranians and an israelis don't believe it. and so i thinkd in some ways that's the worst possible publid situation. o use esident is willing t force. but nobody believes it. and i think in that situation, iran might be tempted to cross a those red lines and weti would t into a war that could have been avoided if we had had more credibility. so in part to address that issue, i talk in the book abou
including on iran. so again, the president has said he's willing to use force.ein andg i've talked to some of his closest advisers and they swear he says the same thing in the t oval office he says in public. that he really wants to solve this diplomatically. that he doesn't want to have tor use force. but that he's not going to allow a nuclear arms race in the middle east unless he has to. the problem is, nobody believes that. the president does -- a couple close advisers, i do, having m n...
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well but of course that question depends on whether the west and iran would strike a deal on iran's nuclear program is all that's worked through we are waiting for and it's being negotiated out with the russian army yes sure sure but russia now is moving beforehand and trying to secure a share in their on their markets and he sank you so much indeed for filling us in on all the details there very interesting stuff because it seems at the moment you've got the sanctions against the norms sanctions that we know september the night intend russia's going to iran to potentially sewall this deal so we're waiting to see what happens there will we get a backlash from the u.s. if they do so we'll get back in to talk about that why not our enemies thank you. now let's focus on russia and a business is a see what companies have been hissing at the domestic headlines this week so doctors face tour operator well it's gone bankrupt which is left five hundred. customers stranded abroad mostly in greece and another one thousand three hundred booked to travel will not be able to do so or people affected wil
well but of course that question depends on whether the west and iran would strike a deal on iran's nuclear program is all that's worked through we are waiting for and it's being negotiated out with the russian army yes sure sure but russia now is moving beforehand and trying to secure a share in their on their markets and he sank you so much indeed for filling us in on all the details there very interesting stuff because it seems at the moment you've got the sanctions against the norms...
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into the potential consequences of running european flights crossing as space to asia also russia and iran team up and agree to an oil trade deal understanding to ease the impacts of such sanctions and some kirby joins me later he's going to be talking about they are but first the russian government has imposed a one year restriction on the import of agricultural products on the country's imposing sanctions so beef pork poultry fish cheese milk vegetables and fruit imports from australia canada the e.u. u.s. and norway all off the menu but the drinks menu is still ok our goal is not affected neither is baby fruit now in twenty thirteen russia imported six point seven billion dollars worth of meat products in toto so talk about a money hit so to discuss this issue the new bite back measures i'm now joined by alexi a sokoloff head of the learning center who trades dot com alexei these measures are designed to hit back the question is how ha's are they going to hit back and who are they actually didn't hit back. the falling apart before these murders you. know are shot odds not go into here b
into the potential consequences of running european flights crossing as space to asia also russia and iran team up and agree to an oil trade deal understanding to ease the impacts of such sanctions and some kirby joins me later he's going to be talking about they are but first the russian government has imposed a one year restriction on the import of agricultural products on the country's imposing sanctions so beef pork poultry fish cheese milk vegetables and fruit imports from australia canada...
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Aug 17, 2014
08/14
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we don't trust iran. they don't trust iran. so we need to retain them as an ally, and they need protection, and there is no alternative to us. so no matter how unhappy they are with president obama and the u.s., i think they decided to quiet the criticism because it's like an unhappy marriage. if you don't have an alternative, you stick it out. so we and they may not be the warmest of marriages right now but we do, i believe, still need each other. >> why are the unhappy with president obama? >> because they went into syria with the goal of giving iran a black i, because iran was supporting syria so they wanted to knock off a solid come and they thought the u.s. would help them. -- knock off a solid. we were not doing enough in their minds but then after the chemical weapons used in syria and the president saying i'm going to -- they crossed my redline, i'm going to do something, and then not providing any military help, they are stuck now with their foot on assad's neck, and we did help them chop his head off and they can find
we don't trust iran. they don't trust iran. so we need to retain them as an ally, and they need protection, and there is no alternative to us. so no matter how unhappy they are with president obama and the u.s., i think they decided to quiet the criticism because it's like an unhappy marriage. if you don't have an alternative, you stick it out. so we and they may not be the warmest of marriages right now but we do, i believe, still need each other. >> why are the unhappy with president...
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Aug 15, 2014
08/14
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and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the prime minister was welcomed by the united states and by iran. the supporters of the administration will say well it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interest and are walking in parallel like this. i personally don't believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious effort to accommodate iran to arrive at a mod does and the primary reason for that is the notion that isis is the threat. we have this problem of jihaddist from bag dan to damascus and the administration's attitude i think is much the same. it's attitude in sprivet much the same as what we've seen from ambassador pickering and lures and crocker who wrote in the "washington post" which said we have to ban together with all of the like minded states in the renalen that are hostile to isis iran being first and foremost among them so we should come to accommodation with them. we heard in the huffing on the post recently expressing what is a very prevalent view
and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the prime minister was welcomed by the united states and by iran. the supporters of the administration will say well it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interest and are walking in parallel like this. i personally don't believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious effort to accommodate iran to arrive at a mod does and the primary reason for that is the notion that isis is the threat. we have...
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Aug 3, 2014
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and will iran win or lose? >> i think this is a very fluid situation and i think there are competing and sometimes contradict try interests that are at stake here to it's not a playing kind of black on white alliance structure by any stretch of the imagination. turkey has a different set of interests than the arab states or -- i think the issue remains iran's nuclear weapons program, even watch what's happened in gaza for the past three weeks. the rocket assault on israel, the israeli retaliation, looking at this with very clear eyes, all of this pales with near total instance compared with the detonation. israel and the saudis are still trying to deal with how to prevent iran from getting to deliverable nuclear weapons which they have been seeking for 30 years. to the extent that the interests are now more clearly aligned i think that's all to the good because i think frankly in this whole region, the single biggest threat to the united states is iran's nuclear program. >> those talks have been delayed a few m
and will iran win or lose? >> i think this is a very fluid situation and i think there are competing and sometimes contradict try interests that are at stake here to it's not a playing kind of black on white alliance structure by any stretch of the imagination. turkey has a different set of interests than the arab states or -- i think the issue remains iran's nuclear weapons program, even watch what's happened in gaza for the past three weeks. the rocket assault on israel, the israeli...
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Aug 14, 2014
08/14
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and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the new prime minister and iraq was welcomed both by the united states and by iran. supporters of the administration will say it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interests and are walking in parallel like this. i personally do not believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious toort to accommodate her ran arrive at a modus vivendi -- to .ccommodate iran we have this problem of jihadistan now from baghdad to thepo or damascus, and administration's attitude, i it's, is much the same -- attitude and private is much the same as what we have seen from ambassador pickering and a fastener crocker, who wrote an op-ed in "the washington post," which said we have to band together with all of the like-minded states from the , so we should come to an accommodation with them. we hear it from many other significant figures in the policy world. that is how i think that they see the region. personally, i think that this puts them in a
and iran are marching in parallel. the most recent example being the new prime minister and iraq was welcomed both by the united states and by iran. supporters of the administration will say it just happens that the united states and iran have the same interests and are walking in parallel like this. i personally do not believe that to be the case. i think there is a conscious toort to accommodate her ran arrive at a modus vivendi -- to .ccommodate iran we have this problem of jihadistan now...
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Aug 31, 2014
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iran is a persian country. iran's rise will be curtailed by the loss of an ally in damascus or a loss of ally in baghdad. these two fights are must wins. iran has ambitions in that part of the world and these two countries as well as others are key to that. unfortunately, iran's nuclear program has been little slowed. maybe the centrifuges are not being used as much but they have compiled enough uranium to turn it into a higher-grade uranium. while these negotiations are going on, iran has time to work on its weaponization of this material. it has time to perfect delivery vehicles. the u.s. government publicly has not moved off the fact that they said a few years ago that iran will have a missile capable of reaching the united states by 2015. that is next yea they can put a satellite into space. they probably have been helping the north koreans do that as well because they followed iran and that capability. all of you are probably too young to remember because you probably read it in e-book. sputnik, 1957. when
iran is a persian country. iran's rise will be curtailed by the loss of an ally in damascus or a loss of ally in baghdad. these two fights are must wins. iran has ambitions in that part of the world and these two countries as well as others are key to that. unfortunately, iran's nuclear program has been little slowed. maybe the centrifuges are not being used as much but they have compiled enough uranium to turn it into a higher-grade uranium. while these negotiations are going on, iran has time...
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Aug 3, 2014
08/14
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not capable iran. ready iran becomes an existential threat. if everything else fails, a nuclear ready iran will require whatever tools in the toolbox are necessary. >> let's turn to politics. you democrats are having fun with the impeachment. look at what these guys are doing. you know impeachment is not going to happen. >> we are not having fun with impeachment. we did not raise the issue. i did not write the talking points. here is what is going on. there are many members of the republican caucus who fundamentally believe that impeachment is an option. i don't think anybody believed they would shut down the government. but they shut down the government. this past week, the republicans spent the week passing a resolution to waste taxpayer money to sue the president. sure, when republican caucus focuses on suing the president and wrestles about impeaching the president, you bet our supporters will be energized. we will fight those priorities in order to focus on what matters to the american people. >> this is more than idle chatter. >> i do no
not capable iran. ready iran becomes an existential threat. if everything else fails, a nuclear ready iran will require whatever tools in the toolbox are necessary. >> let's turn to politics. you democrats are having fun with the impeachment. look at what these guys are doing. you know impeachment is not going to happen. >> we are not having fun with impeachment. we did not raise the issue. i did not write the talking points. here is what is going on. there are many members of the...
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Aug 24, 2014
08/14
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iran will support the prime minister designate and try to help the county find stability. there has been fighting near the syrian city of aleppo. these images are said to show opposition fighters shedding areas held by soldiers. one target was a prison. >>> yemen's government offered to resign and review an unpopular decision to cut fuel subsidies. it includes an offer to form a new government amongst tens of thousands of hutus who have been protesting for days. 35 nigerian police officers are missing after boko haram attacks on a training academy in the nearby state of borneo. the group seized the city earlier this month. the military said it is preparing on offensive. we are joined live from abuja. tell us about the search for the missing policeman. >> well, the somewhere general of police said it's premature to speculate on the fate of the men, whether they were kidnapped by a group in action, or whether they were hiding in the bush. this is consistent with previous attacks we have seen. sometimes it takes, days, weeks, until what happens transfires. it was on saturday
iran will support the prime minister designate and try to help the county find stability. there has been fighting near the syrian city of aleppo. these images are said to show opposition fighters shedding areas held by soldiers. one target was a prison. >>> yemen's government offered to resign and review an unpopular decision to cut fuel subsidies. it includes an offer to form a new government amongst tens of thousands of hutus who have been protesting for days. 35 nigerian police...
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Aug 18, 2014
08/14
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ALJAZAM
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iran relations. >> well, nonexistent in the past. >> that is part of it. the leaders before obama had been tepid at best in the efforts to resolve this con flight and now the leaders on both sides willing to take the steps that the predecessors would not. >> is president obama going to try to convince iran to give up the iranian all together? >> no. that is a ship that sailed. no other world really leaders that is invested in the process, trying to get iran to stop it all together. it is a mutually agreeable solution and not usable to develop a nuclear weapon. >> how do you find the mutually agreeable solution and because of your perspective, when president obama is coming under pressure to take a tough negotiating position? >> absolutely. there are spoilers on both sides and exist here in washington as well, and exist in iran. so far president obama has while demonstrating a willingness to work with the congress and helping the diplomatic congress has stood up to the congress and other spoilers in washington, if you are opposed out line to the american pe
iran relations. >> well, nonexistent in the past. >> that is part of it. the leaders before obama had been tepid at best in the efforts to resolve this con flight and now the leaders on both sides willing to take the steps that the predecessors would not. >> is president obama going to try to convince iran to give up the iranian all together? >> no. that is a ship that sailed. no other world really leaders that is invested in the process, trying to get iran to stop it...
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there was very little iran could do the west didn't really need much from iran that's not the case with russia and i think russia has made very clear that it will retaliate in a proportionate manner with european i agree cultures said to bear the brunt of the import ban e.u. leaders that backed sanctions against russia look likely to face farmers and export is demanding compensation for their losses there's someone there know. it's going to affect us all it will take two or three months to collect all remaining crops of oranges and we don't know what will happen if no one buys them if there isn't the sufficient market prices will go down and we don't know if we can cover the costs of production because it is so expensive. european food exports to russia worth over twelve billion euros last year when you and finland were the first to contact brussels about compensation some estimates suggest the ban could cost the finnish economy four hundred million euro a year mostly from dairy exports elsewhere the. german trade union that deals with wholesale foreign trade said the ban posed a risk t
there was very little iran could do the west didn't really need much from iran that's not the case with russia and i think russia has made very clear that it will retaliate in a proportionate manner with european i agree cultures said to bear the brunt of the import ban e.u. leaders that backed sanctions against russia look likely to face farmers and export is demanding compensation for their losses there's someone there know. it's going to affect us all it will take two or three months to...
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Aug 3, 2014
08/14
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>> so, the iran and the israel question. just so you -- right? iran question, israel question. iran question: we, the two are not unrelated. so, let's go ahead and bring them together. i'm an american catholic. at least once a talk i try to make sure i say something about catholicism because, as many of you know, even if it may sort of annoy you, the catholic church really believes that sooner or later everybody is going to come to rome. so, this is my little gesture of evangelism. i simply say, i'm an american catholic. as an american catholic -- forget the catholic part. i don't view iran as posing an existential threat to the u.s. and i don't know if there is an iran program that aims to create a nuclear weapon. i would say, parenthetically, were i the national security advisor of the iranian government, i would urge that we acquire a nuclear weapon. because from an iranian perspective, iran poses some significant threats, not least of all, given the history of u.s.-iranian relations, and, there is significant evidence available that says that if you can get away with the ac
>> so, the iran and the israel question. just so you -- right? iran question, israel question. iran question: we, the two are not unrelated. so, let's go ahead and bring them together. i'm an american catholic. at least once a talk i try to make sure i say something about catholicism because, as many of you know, even if it may sort of annoy you, the catholic church really believes that sooner or later everybody is going to come to rome. so, this is my little gesture of evangelism. i...
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Aug 4, 2014
08/14
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technology and it's not that iran doesn't do that but iran takes other measures as well. they are often seeking physical components to supply their maintenance people. there are specific problem with the aircraft as the united states supply aircraft to iran in the 70s. f-4, f5's f-15's and of course after after the reveille should we the u.s. stopped maintaining them and they stop supplying them with spare parts. so they had to do that themselves. and so they have the same problems that a navy squadron has when it's deployed far from home. they start running out of things so they have acquisition age and sewer in the business of trying to acquire those things. they will use transshipment points. they use transshipment points like to buy in order to get u.s. companies to supply them with components. >> so the target and "operation shakespeare" the iranian would do something similar. what he would do if he would g get, he would get marching orders from the iranian government. they would send it by facts and set up by e-mail because if they send it by e-mail they would worry
technology and it's not that iran doesn't do that but iran takes other measures as well. they are often seeking physical components to supply their maintenance people. there are specific problem with the aircraft as the united states supply aircraft to iran in the 70s. f-4, f5's f-15's and of course after after the reveille should we the u.s. stopped maintaining them and they stop supplying them with spare parts. so they had to do that themselves. and so they have the same problems that a navy...
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Aug 15, 2014
08/14
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. >> we know that there are active talks right now over iran's nuclear program. do you have concerns that because those talks have taken precedent right now that iran's human rights record over the years is being put to the side, ignored, neglected? >> i have precisely that concern. i think aside from the principal point, i think it's counterproductive to be ignoring human rights because if there were more pressure on iran to respect its people you would find more respect for rhouhani. there is a big splint in governmental circles between the more reformist segment, the old-fashioned hard liners and if there were more pressure on human rights, you might find the iranian people better able to express their views and i think the majority of people want out from these sanctions and want a freer existence. >> iran has hundreds of prisoners, political prisoners. >> uh-huh. >> in prisons, the highest per capita rate of discussions in the world. to your point, there needs to be more pressure put on iran on the human rights front and you wonder if these concerns, oversha
. >> we know that there are active talks right now over iran's nuclear program. do you have concerns that because those talks have taken precedent right now that iran's human rights record over the years is being put to the side, ignored, neglected? >> i have precisely that concern. i think aside from the principal point, i think it's counterproductive to be ignoring human rights because if there were more pressure on iran to respect its people you would find more respect for...
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Aug 23, 2014
08/14
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ALJAZAM
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the current government of iraq, kurds, america, iran, they're finding cause in stability because isis presents a threat to each of these respective actors. so in the bigger scheme of things iran is doing something and you're not seeing western countries or iraqi governments or any arab governments complaining about it. that's noteworthy because in the past this is an area. iraq has been an area where all of these countries have been fighting one another. i think it's very noteworthy in that sense. >> in that sense was this done with the consent of baghdad and washington? >> i would say in all likelihood there has been behind-the-scenes communication saying you know, we want to avoid fighting one another because we essentially have the same goal. so i'm not saying that you're going to see american and iranian troops fighting next to one another any time soon. i think because they're trying to find common cause and stability there is a list of tasks that both sides are trying to accomplish perhaps they can divide up that list of tasks. i think that's what we're seeing. >> now iran has a
the current government of iraq, kurds, america, iran, they're finding cause in stability because isis presents a threat to each of these respective actors. so in the bigger scheme of things iran is doing something and you're not seeing western countries or iraqi governments or any arab governments complaining about it. that's noteworthy because in the past this is an area. iraq has been an area where all of these countries have been fighting one another. i think it's very noteworthy in that...